Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.