Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.