Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.