Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.