Championship | Gameweek 38
Jun 20, 2020 at 1pm UK
The Den
Millwall2 - 3Derby
The Match
Match Report
Matt Matthew Smith opened the scoring for the Lions but three goals from Louie Sibley turned the game on its head.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship game between Millwall and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Derby County |
| 41.97% | 26.19% | 31.84% |
| Both teams to score 52.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
