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Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Den
Derby logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Derby

FT(HT: 0-0)
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')

The Match

Match Report

Jason Knight scored the winner for Derby, Wayne Rooney's first victory in interim charge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawDerby County
40.59%28.44%30.97%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.53%60.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4%80.6%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54%35.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78%72.23%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.58%
    Derby County 30.96%
    Draw 28.42%
MillwallDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
43.8%
Draw
41.7%
Derby County
14.6%
96
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2020 1pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Martin (57')
Bradshaw (25')
Romeo (92'), Cooper (92')
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Huddlestone (42'), Keogh (63')
Wallace (72')
Marshall (43'), Williams (87'), Elliott (96')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
2-1
Derby
Cooper (7'), Williams (20')
Cooper (61')
Nugent (73')
Nugent (72')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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