Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.