Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.