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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bristol City |
59.33% | 21.74% | 18.93% |
Both teams to score 54.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.23% | 43.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.84% | 66.16% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.62% | 14.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.72% | 42.28% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.1% | 36.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.31% | 73.69% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 6.43% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 3.12% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.81% Total : 59.33% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.29% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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