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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
Swansea logo

Nott'm Forest
5 - 1
Swansea

Christie (22' og.), Surridge (48', 52', 69'), Mighten (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Obafemi (28')
Christie (24'), Latibeaudiere (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Swansea City

While Swansea are playing well enough to push Forest all the way on Saturday, we cannot ignore the manner of some of their recent draws. With that in mind, Forest could take advantage, starting well and doing more than enough during the 90 minutes to claim another three vital points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
58.74%22.96%18.3%
Both teams to score 49.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11%49.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12%71.88%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.53%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81%41.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28%77.72%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 58.72%
    Swansea City 18.3%
    Draw 22.96%
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.84%
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.09%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Swansea

Nottingham Forest
81.1%
Draw
13.5%
Swansea City
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Nott'm Forest
Piroe (62')
Downes (11'), Smith (31'), Cabango (55')
Zinckernagel (48'), Grabban (50'), Johnson (68'), Cafu (90+3')
Osei-Tutu (20'), Spence (55'), McKenna (66'), Cafu (90+4')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Swansea
5-1
Nott'm Forest
Cullen (7', 67'), Grimes (29', 60' pen.), Cooper (85')
Dhanda (90+1')
Knockaert (56')
Jenkinson (10'), Worrall (69')
Nov 29, 2020 12pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Swansea

Arter (51'), Figueiredo (74'), McKenna (78'), Taylor (90+2')
Roberts (43')
Woodman (87'), Fulton (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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