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Championship | Gameweek 40
Jul 1, 2020 at 5pm UK
Cossham Street Stadium
Derby logo

Preston
0 - 1
Derby

FT(HT: 0-1)
Rooney (18')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams are now a point behind sixth-placed Cardiff in the hunt for the play-offs.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship game between Preston North End and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawDerby County
41.09%24.64%34.26%
Both teams to score 58.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65%44.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28%66.72%
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28%54.72%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08%59.92%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 41.09%
    Derby County 34.26%
    Draw 24.64%
Preston North EndDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.26%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Feb 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Preston
0-0
Derby
Pearson (28')
Malone (91')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
2-0
Preston
Mount (38'), Keogh (78')
Ledley (34'), Mount (73'), Johnson (84')

Pearson (85')
Apr 2, 2018 12.45pm
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
Derby
1-0
Preston
Vydra (58' pen.)
Johnson (45'), Weimann (93')

Robinson (36'), Huntington (57'), Browne (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
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6pm
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Bills
9.30pm
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@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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