Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.