Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.