Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.