Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.