Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reading in this match.