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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
36.96% | 30.09% | 32.95% |
Both teams to score 41.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.54% | 65.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.79% | 84.21% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.03% | 33.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.35% | 70.65% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% | 36.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% | 73.51% |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 13.46% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.47% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.08% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.87% Total : 32.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |