Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
