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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Birmingham

Campbell (25', 52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
James (12'), Gardner (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Birmingham City

Birmingham head into this contest under far less pressure than their hosts, and that could show in their performance. Nevertheless, we feel that the home side should have enough quality to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, potentially with a goal during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
58.95%23.52%17.53%
Both teams to score 46.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.83%53.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26%74.74%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23%17.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52%48.48%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95%44.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84%80.16%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 58.94%
    Birmingham City 17.53%
    Draw 23.51%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.52%
2-0 @ 11.68%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 1%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 58.94%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.42%
1-2 @ 4.55%
0-2 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.53%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Birmingham City
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
0-0
Stoke
Hogan (49')
Clucas (57'), Powell (67')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Birmingham
2-0
Stoke
Jutkiewicz (42', 53')
Gardner (85')

Fletcher (45')
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
1-1
Birmingham
Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Birmingham
2-1
Stoke
Jutkiewicz (73'), Bellingham (76')
Crowley (78'), Gardner (94')
Lindsay (58')
McClean (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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