Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bournemouth in this match.