Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Oct 24, 2020 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
3 - 2
Brentford

Fletcher (9'), McClean (35'), Campbell (59')
Fletcher (81'), Oakley-Boothe (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Forss (70', 90+1')
Toney (40')

Reaction

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured on July 4, 2020

Stoke boss Michael O'Neill: 'We made life difficult for ourselves'

Brentford launched a late fightback with Marcus Forss scoring twice but Stoke held on to win 3-2.

Oct 24, 17:23

The Match

Match Report

Marcus Forss pulled two goals back for the Bees but Stoke held on.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Stoke City and Brentford, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Brentford
26.81%	27.52%	45.67%

Both teams to score 46.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.05%

58.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.57%

79.43%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.06%

37.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29%

74.7%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22%

25.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27%

60.73%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 26.81%

Brentford 45.67%

Draw 27.52%

Stoke City	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.64% Total : 26.81%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 13.25% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.38% 1-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.67%