Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.