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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Derby logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Derby

Brown (74')
Smith (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cresswell (88')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams are without a win since February 23 and sit just five points above the bottom three.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
40.15%29.1%30.74%
Both teams to score 43.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.25%62.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.72%82.28%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41%30.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.83%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.13%36.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34%73.65%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.14%
    Derby County 30.74%
    Draw 29.1%
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.35%
2-0 @ 7.91%
2-1 @ 7.89%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 0.93%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 40.14%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.1%
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: Stoke vs Derby

Stoke City
49.0%
Draw
41.2%
Derby County
9.8%
51
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Derby
0-0
Stoke
Buchanan (48'), Knight (76'), Bielik (90+2')
Cousins (71')
Jan 31, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Derby
4-0
Stoke
Waghorn (21'), Martin (24'), Rooney (67'), Bogle (74')
Bogle (39'), Shinnie (80')

Tymon (34'), Allen (43')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stoke
2-2
Derby
Lindsay (32'), Hogan (55')
Woods (24'), Lindsay (43'), Smith (67')
Waghorn (2', 70')
Malone (45'), Lawrence (67'), Jozefzoon (68')
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Derby
0-0
Stoke
Williams (70'), Shawcross (89')
Nov 28, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 19
Stoke
2-1
Derby
Clucas (24'), Ince (64')
Allen (34'), Woods (78')
Etebo (32')
Wilson (49')
Lawrence (21'), Johnson (34'), Marriott (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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