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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Watford

Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')

The Match

Match Report

The Hornets moved up to third with a hard-fought away win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
27.68%28.14%44.18%
Both teams to score 44.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.39%60.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.3%80.7%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88%38.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11%74.88%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68%27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23%62.76%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 27.68%
    Watford 44.17%
    Draw 28.13%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 6.29%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.68%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 13.51%
0-2 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-3 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 44.17%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
31.5%
Draw
19.6%
Watford
49.0%
143
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford
Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')
Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
Nov 27, 2016 12pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Amrabat (24'), Britos (26'), Holebas (40'), Behrami (93')
Britos (90')
Gomes (29' og.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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