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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Hull City |
40.88% ( 0.08) | 27.14% ( -0.03) | 31.97% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.49% ( 0.11) | 55.51% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.31% ( 0.09) | 76.69% ( -0.09) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( 0.09) | 26.68% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( 0.12) | 61.94% ( -0.12) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( 0.02) | 32.14% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( 0.03) | 68.62% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Watford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
11 | Bristol City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Hull City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
24 | Portsmouth | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
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