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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Sunderland

Burnley
0 - 0
Sunderland


Cullen (53'), Maatsen (58')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-1 Sunderland

On the back of an international break, there is every chance that this fixture could be more competitive than many anticipate. However, while we feel that the Black Cats have the quality to score at Turf Moor, we expect the Clarets to battle their way to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawSunderland
64.32% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02) 20.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 15.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)42.08% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)64.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (-0.012 -0.01)12.37% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.78% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)38.22% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)76.48%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 64.31%
    Sunderland 15.61%
    Draw 20.07%
BurnleyDrawSunderland
2-0 @ 10.75%
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 64.31%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.07%
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.4%
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.61%

How you voted: Burnley vs Sunderland

Burnley
86.6%
Draw
9.2%
Sunderland
4.2%
142
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Sunderland
2-4
Burnley
Diallo (16'), Neill (20')
Tella (50'), Benson (61'), Zaroury (69'), Brownhill (87')
Berg Gudmundsson (2')
Aug 28, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Burnley
1-3
Sunderland
Rodriguez (11')
Grigg (35'), Flanagan (47'), Dobson (50')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Burnley
2-0
Sunderland
Vokes (45'), Gray (83')
Defour (78'), Barton (92')

Love (12')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Third Round
Sunderland
0-0
Burnley

Darikwa (69'), Barton (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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