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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Sunderland |
36.7% ( -0.38) | 26.71% ( -0.09) | 36.6% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.84% ( 0.39) | 53.16% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.27% ( 0.33) | 74.73% ( -0.33) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.06% ( -0.04) | 27.94% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% ( -0.05) | 63.57% ( 0.05) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% ( 0.48) | 28.01% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( 0.6) | 63.65% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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