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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Burnley logo

Hull City
1 - 3
Burnley

Tufan (90+3')
Pelkas (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (43', 59', 73')
Ekdal (57'), Maatsen (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Wigan
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-2 Burnley

Hull are looking to achieve a top-half finish in the Championship for the first time since the 2015-16 campaign, but face a Burnley side who are on a relentless unbeaten run. The Clarets were able to cruise to victory against 10-man Wigan on Saturday, so Kompany's team should have plenty of energy to put in another commanding display at the MKM Stadium in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBurnley
20.37% (-0.232 -0.23) 25% (0.055 0.05) 54.63% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.459 -0.46)55.1% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.38 -0.38)76.35% (0.377 0.38)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09% (-0.515 -0.52)41.9% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.452 -0.45)78.35% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.113 -0.11)20.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.178 -0.18)52.42% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 20.37%
    Burnley 54.62%
    Draw 24.99%
Hull CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 13.52% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 10.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.62%

How you voted: Hull City vs Burnley

Hull City
23.6%
Draw
9.0%
Burnley
67.4%
89
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Burnley
1-1
Hull City
Rodriguez (34')
Brownhill (89')
Tufan (25')
Tetteh (11'), Jones (68'), Elder (90+6')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Hull City
1-1
Burnley
Huddlestone (72' pen.)
Huddlestone (53')
Keane (76')
Westwood (40'), Barnes (71')
Barnes (92')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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