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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Cardiff

FT(HT: 0-1)
Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aden Flint scored the only goal in the eighth minute.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
32.1%28.43%39.47%
Both teams to score 46.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82%60.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63%80.37%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52%34.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81%71.19%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29%29.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23%65.77%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 32.09%
    Cardiff City 39.47%
    Draw 28.41%
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 32.09%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 39.47%

How you voted: Swansea vs Cardiff

Swansea City
50.0%
Draw
35.1%
Cardiff City
14.9%
94
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Cardiff
0-2
Swansea

Morrison (18'), Moore (35'), Ralls (46')
Ralls (67')
Lowe (6', 72')
Bennett (14'), Guehi (35')
Jan 12, 2020 12pm
Oct 27, 2019 12pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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