Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.