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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Millwall logo

Watford
1 - 0
Millwall

Sarr (11' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muller (86')

The Match

Match Report

Ismaila Sarr scored the penalty that earned the Hornets promotion back to the top flight.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
55.33%26.14%18.53%
Both teams to score 40.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39%60.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01%80.99%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74%22.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3%55.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.53%47.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.16%82.83%
Score Analysis
    Watford 55.32%
    Millwall 18.53%
    Draw 26.13%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.87%
2-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 4.45%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford
82.0%
Draw
11.2%
Millwall
6.7%
89
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 22
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Kieftenbeld (27'), Cooper (33')
Masina (45+1'), Cleverley (45+2'), Chalobah (56'), Sierralta (74')
Jan 29, 2017 12pm
Fourth Round
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Morison (85')
Wallace (95')

Britos (66'), Mason (81'), Doucoure (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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