Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.