Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.