Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.