Sh. Shenhua4 - 1Hebei
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
Result | ||
Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Hebei |
41.3% | 25.32% | 33.37% |
Both teams to score 56.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.37% | 47.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.17% | 69.83% |
Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.07% | 22.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.3% | 56.69% |
Hebei Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.71% | 27.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.27% | 62.73% |
Score Analysis |
Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Hebei |
1-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.37% |
Mascherano (22')