Chinese Super League | Gameweek 27
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan8 - 1Changchun
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-3 Beijing Guoan
Friday, September 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, September 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
47
Last Game: Changchun 3-4 Shanghai Port
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in Chinese Super League
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
39
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
Result | ||
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
65.49% ( -0.02) | 18.28% ( 0.01) | 16.23% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.93% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.81% ( -0.04) | 32.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.22% ( -0.04) | 53.78% ( 0.05) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.76% ( -0.01) | 9.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.76% ( -0.03) | 31.24% ( 0.04) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( -0.01) | 32.87% ( 0.01) |