MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 17:21:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Apr 9, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
1 - 2
Sichuan

Xizhe (90+6' pen.)
Hao (31'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Li (24'), Garcia (66' pen.)
Yudong (29'), Zhu (45+8'), Li (51'), Wang (87')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Sichuan Jiuniu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-2 Shanghai Port
Friday, April 5 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Sichuan Jiuniu

All competitions
Last Game: Henan 0-2 Sichuan
Friday, April 5 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sichuan Jiuniu would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawSichuan Jiuniu
35.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 25.35% (-0.029 -0.03) 39.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (0.136 0.14)47.4% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (0.125 0.13)69.61% (-0.127 -0.13)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.073999999999998 0.07)26.14% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (0.1 0.1)61.21% (-0.103 -0.1)
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.096000000000004 0.1)57.83% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 35.1%
    Sichuan Jiuniu 39.55%
    Draw 25.34%
Beijing GuoanDrawSichuan Jiuniu
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.55%

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