Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Apr 9, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan1 - 2Sichuan
FT(HT: 0-1)
Li (24'), Garcia (66' pen.)
Yudong (29'), Zhu (45+8'), Li (51'), Wang (87')
Yudong (29'), Zhu (45+8'), Li (51'), Wang (87')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Sichuan Jiuniu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-2 Shanghai Port
Friday, April 5 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, April 5 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 0-2 Sichuan
Friday, April 5 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, April 5 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sichuan Jiuniu would win this match.
Result | ||
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
35.1% ( 0.02) | 25.35% ( -0.03) | 39.55% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( 0.14) | 47.4% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( 0.13) | 69.61% ( -0.13) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( 0.07) | 26.14% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( 0.1) | 61.21% ( -0.1) |
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( 0.06) | 23.71% ( -0.07) |