Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.