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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 8
Jul 3, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Dalian Sports Center

Dalian Pro
2 - 2
Changchun

Shang (25'), Wei (70')
Fei (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Okore (66'), Negrao (86')
Li (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Pro and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-3 Dalian Pro
Tuesday, June 28 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Dalian Pro 1-2 Changchun Yatai

There is little to choose between the teams coming into this one, and the game could easily swing either way. That said, we fancy the visitors to just about see off the threat of the home side and emerge victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Dalian ProDrawChangchun Yatai
33.64% (-0.46 -0.46) 27.04% (-0.204 -0.2) 39.32% (0.66399999999999 0.66)
Both teams to score 50.49% (0.542 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (0.727 0.73)54.78% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (0.598 0.6)76.09% (-0.599 -0.6)
Dalian Pro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)30.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (0.073999999999998 0.07)66.88% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (0.72 0.72)27.21% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (0.928 0.93)62.62% (-0.928 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Dalian Pro 33.64%
    Changchun Yatai 39.32%
    Draw 27.04%
Dalian ProDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.64%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.32%

How you voted: Dalian Pro vs Changchun

Dalian Pro
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Changchun Yatai
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2022 12.30pm
Changchun
1-1
Dalian Pro
Lima (59')
Shang (9')
Huang (30'), Shang (39'), Lin (57'), Yan (62')
Aug 15, 2021 9.30am
Changchun
3-1
Dalian Pro
Negrao (11', 79'), Serginho (26')
Liangming (90+2')
Tong (50'), Dong (57')
Apr 22, 2021 11am
Dalian Pro
1-2
Changchun
Danielsson (90+3' pen.)
Tao (90+5')
Negrao (36'), Lima (61')
Wang (67')
Nov 11, 2018 7am
Dalian Pro
2-0
Changchun
Riascos (23'), Carrasco (64')
Sheng (25'), Ting (76'), Carrasco (90')

Jie (22'), Guang (71')
Aug 1, 2018 11am
Changchun
3-0
Dalian Pro
Ighalo (10' pen., 39' pen.), Mierzejewski (29')
Mierzejewski (18'), Guang (21'), Dadi (27'), Long (36'), Zhiyu (43')

Gaitan (19')
Shanping (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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