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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 18
Sep 29, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Dalian Sports Center

Dalian Pro
1 - 2
Sh. Shenhua

Dong (59')
Huang (38'), Liu (45'), Nunez (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jianrong (88', 90+1')
Xu (20'), Sheng (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Pro and Shanghai Shenhua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dalian Pro 2-2 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, September 24 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-0 Meizhou Hakka
Tuesday, September 20 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

We said: Dalian Pro 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua

Shanghai Shenhua have enjoyed the better of this fixture in recent years and head into Thursday as slight favourites to come away with the desired result. While we expect Dalian Pro to put up a fight, we are backing Wu's men to claim all three points, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.

Result
Dalian ProDrawShanghai Shenhua
35.88% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 26.63% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)52.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Dalian Pro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)28.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21%62.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Dalian Pro 35.88%
    Shanghai Shenhua 37.48%
    Draw 26.62%
Dalian ProDrawShanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.88%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.48%

How you voted: Dalian Pro vs Sh. Shenhua

Dalian Pro
17.6%
Draw
17.6%
Shanghai Shenhua
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2021 9.30am
Dalian Pro
2-4
Sh. Shenhua
Liangming (19' pen.), Long (30')
Yaopeng (13'), Li (22'), He (61'), Xuri (68')
Bassogog (4', 65'), Mierzejewski (15' pen.), Moreno (45+2')
Zhu (29'), Xinli (79')
Jul 19, 2021 11.30am
Sh. Shenhua
3-2
Dalian Pro
Bi (54'), Xi (61'), Mingjian (90+1')
Sun (84')
Xuri (71'), Huang (87')
Wei (25'), Xuri (79')
Sep 14, 2020 1pm
Dalian Pro
1-1
Sh. Shenhua
Rondon (33')
Liangming (35'), Zhang (73'), Hamsik (86')
Bi (86')
N'Doumbou (9'), Zhu (90+2')
Aug 10, 2020 11am
Sh. Shenhua
2-2
Dalian Pro
Shin-wook (7'), Ighalo (73')
Jiajun (40'), Sun (77')
Rondon (66', 90+2')
Wei (40'), Dong (51'), Danielsson (71'), Larsson (82')
Oct 20, 2019 12.35pm
Sh. Shenhua
2-1
Dalian Pro
Moreno (25'), Ighalo (38')
Aidi (15'), Xinli (35')
Carrasco (1')
Pengfei (19'), Xiaogang (21'), Carrasco (35'), Boateng (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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