MX23RW : Friday, November 22 05:20:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 33
Dec 27, 2022 at 7am UK
Tianhe Stadium

Guangzhou
1 - 4
Changchun

Yan (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jinxian (9'), Cheng (56'), Li (61' og.), Long (78')
Yan (76')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guangzhou 1-3 Beijing Guoan
Friday, December 23 at 7am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-0 Changchun
Friday, December 23 at 7am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 54.22%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 22.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawChangchun Yatai
22.98% (0.467 0.47) 22.8% (0.29 0.29) 54.22% (-0.757 -0.76)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-0.372 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (-0.782 -0.78)43.23% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (-0.776 -0.78)65.63% (0.773 0.77)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)32.64% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.02 -0.02)69.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)15.88% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.986 -0.99)45.1% (0.985 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 22.98%
    Changchun Yatai 54.22%
    Draw 22.79%
GuangzhouDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.091 0.09)
1-0 @ 5.8% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.25% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 22.98%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.176 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 5.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 54.22%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 8.30am
Jan 1, 2022 7.30am
Guangzhou
2-0
Changchun
Ling (73'), Tan (83')
Chao (36'), Yang (70')

Mao (37'), Li (44'), Tudi (62')
Dec 19, 2021 10am
Changchun
0-2
Guangzhou

Chen (51')
Mao (75')
Deng (40'), Yang (53')
Deng (7'), Xiuwei (38')
Aug 11, 2018 11am
Changchun
3-2
Guangzhou
Rui (17'), Long (84', 90')
Long (71'), Pejcinovic (89')
Liyu (28'), Goulart (43')
Fang (29'), Xiaoting (78')
Mar 9, 2018 11.35am
Guangzhou
5-0
Changchun
Lin (52'), Goulart (60', 65'), Carvalho (79', 84')
Zhang (54'), Hanwen (75')

Jiang (31'), Zhang (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!