Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.