Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Hebei China Fortune win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.