Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.