Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Jazira Club win with a probability of 90.08%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Pirae had a probability of 2.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Jazira Club win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 4-0 (11.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.45%), while for a Pirae win it was 0-1 (1.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Jazira Club would win this match.