Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that French Guiana would win this match.
0.35) 
-0.18) 
