CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Nov 16, 2023 at 11pm UK
US Virgin Islands1 - 4Aruba
Farrell (47')
Blaschka (66'), Mills (78')
Blaschka (66'), Mills (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dania (23'), Ostiana (40', 52'), Maria (79' pen.)
Richard (50')
Richard (50')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between US Virgin Islands and Aruba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cayman Islands 2-1 US Virgin Islands
Tuesday, October 17 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, October 17 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Aruba 3-1 US Virgin Islands
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aruba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| US Virgin Islands | Draw | Aruba |
26.55% ( -1.19) | 23.3% ( -0.65) | 50.15% ( 1.83) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
