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Colombia national football team
Copa America | Third-Place Match
Jul 10, 2021 at 1am UK
colombia
Peru national football team

Colombia
3 - 2
Peru

Cuadrado (49'), Diaz (66', 90+4')
Cardona (45+5'), Barrios (62'), Murillo (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yotun (45'), Lapadula (82')
Cueva (50'), Carrillo (63')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Copa America clash between Peru and Colombia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Peru and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Colombia could line up for Saturday's Copa America clash with Peru.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawPeru
56.28%25.36%18.35%
Both teams to score 42.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35%58.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8%79.2%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1%20.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39%53.61%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.71%46.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.06%81.94%
Score Analysis
    Colombia 56.28%
    Peru 18.35%
    Draw 25.36%
ColombiaDrawPeru
1-0 @ 15.14%
2-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 4.77%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 56.28%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.87%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 18.35%

Head to Head
Jun 21, 2021 1am
Jun 4, 2021 3am
Group Stage
Peru
0-3
Colombia

Trauco (34'), Corzo (37'), Guerrero (57'), Lapadula (71')
Trauco (45')
Mina (40'), Uribe (49'), Diaz (55')
Medina (19'), Ospina (59'), Cuellar (74')
Munoz (59')
Nov 16, 2019 1.30am
International Friendlies
Colombia
1-0
Peru
Morelos (93')
Lerma (43'), Morelos (62'), Mina (71'), Uribe (86')

Corzo (7')
Jun 9, 2019 10pm
International Friendlies
Peru
0-3
Colombia

Gonzales (43'), Advincula (55')
Yotun (55')
Uribe (23', 65'), Zapata (94')
Cuadrado (18'), Sanchez (55'), Martinez (59'), Uribe (80')
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Peru
1-1
Colombia
Guerrero (76')
Rodriguez (56')
rhs 2.0
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