Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Antoniano had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.44%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for an Antoniano win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lugo in this match.