Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Estado Municipal de Loinaz
Beasain0 - 1Cartagena
Iriondo Ibaibarriaga (37'), Sansinenea Sistiaga (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Munoz (90')
Guerrero (20'), Roman (23'), Sipcic (55'), Antonio Rios (86')
Guerrero (20'), Roman (23'), Sipcic (55'), Antonio Rios (86')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Beasain and Cartagena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Beasain had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Beasain win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beasain | Draw | Cartagena |
| 13.34% | 19.91% | 66.74% |
| Both teams to score 47.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
